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投資青年紓解老齡化

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葉兆輝

中國政府最近宣布廢除已經實行35年的「一孩政策」,改為推行「二孩政策」,希望此舉能減低人口老齡化的壓力,避免不可持續的人口結構所帶來的潛在危機。目前,中國60歲或以上的老年人口佔總人口15%,這比例預計到2050年翻一番。儘管在過去的20年裏,中國經濟發展取得令人矚目的成績,但是中國人「未富先老」的風險亦逐漸成為現實,老年人口比例的快速增長,為退休和養老體系帶來巨大的資金壓力。

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Two-child policy is essential if China is to avoid a demographic crisis

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Paul Yip

Beijing’s announcement that it is relaxing its 35-year-old one-child policy should be welcomed. It is a timely and correct decision; hopefully, it can mitigate the ageing pressure in China and avoid the potential demographic crisis arising from a very skewed and unsustainable population distribution.

At present, about 15 per cent of China’s population is aged 60 or over and that figure is expected to double by 2050.

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探討香港貧窮問題系列(二) 拆解扶貧數字-「闊度」改善「深度」加劇

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葉兆輝  |  黃浩傑

回應《2014 年香港貧窮情况報告》,我們相信,多角度地分析不同的貧窮指標,將有助社會大眾更全面地理解和掌握貧窮的真實面貌,為扶貧政策提供數據,讓將來的扶貧工作能更聚焦和有效。前文(〈拆解香港2014扶貧數字〉)對2009年至2014年的貧窮率及貧窮人數變化進行了分解分析(decomposition analysis),發現雖然兩貧窮指標在這5年間均呈現下降,但同期內的人口老化、家庭住戶人數減少、總體人口增長這些人口結構的趨勢,其實對該兩貧窮指標的減少造成了一定程度的阻力。為了更深入地理解本地貧窮結構問題,除了解貧窮的「闊度」(即貧窮率及貧窮人數多寡)外,本文特別探討貧窮的「深度」(即貧窮差距(poverty gap)的大小)。

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Hong Kong’s poverty rate may have fallen, but has people’s quality of life risen?

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Paul Yip

The recent summit on poverty provided some encouraging news on alleviating the problem. Taking into account recurrent government cash benefits, the poverty rate dipped from 19.6 per cent to 14.3 per cent last year, and the number of poor people was the lowest in six years.

The poverty rate – the proportion of households earning less than half the median household income – is a relative one. The increase in the number of older adults and single-parent households over the past decade has made it harder to reduce the poverty rate, as these households are often worse off than the general population.

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探討香港貧窮問題系列(一)拆解香港2014扶貧數字

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葉兆輝

根據政府最新的貧窮情况報告,2014 年的貧窮率在政策介入前是19.6%,人數132 萬;政策介入後人數減少至96 萬,貧窮率下降至14.3%。「政策介入」是指由政府發放的恆常現金福利(例如綜援、高齡津貼、長者生活津貼、傷殘津貼及鼓勵就業交通津貼等)。表面看,政策介入令貧窮率下降5.3個百分點,但如果我們深入拆解貧窮人口的構成,會發現如果剔除人口結構改變因素,政府扶貧的效果甚至高於這個數值。

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扶貧工作 迎難而上 

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葉兆輝  |  羅亦華  |  黃浩傑  |  肖雲鈺

這篇文章旨在探討政府政策(下稱「政策」)介入前後,貧窮人口和貧窮率改變的解讀方式。香港的貧窮研究以住戶每月入息中位數的50%界定為貧窮線,貧窮率即是在貧窮線之下的人口所佔整體人口的百分比。

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精神健康+身體健康=整體健康

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黎淑怡  |  程綺瑾  |  葉兆輝

每年的10月10日為世界精神健康日,成立此日的目的是提醒大眾精神健康的重要,以及多關注有精神健康問題的人。根據世界衞生組織對健康的定義,沒有心理健康便沒有健康(No health without mental health),可見精神健康是組成整體健康的必要部分。

可是,普羅大眾對精神健康的認識往往多有誤解,很多時對有精神健康問題的人帶有負面標籤。其實,心理疾病與心臟病和糖尿病等身體毛病一樣,所有人均有機會患上;同樣,只要得到適當治療和支援,是可以痊癒的。

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Can Hong Kong rise to the challenge of changes to its population dynamics?

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Paul Yip

Paul Yip says a sound policy is essential for a sustainable future, given alarming projections showing a decline in numbers due to low fertility rates, fewer migrants and a rising grey tide.

According to its present trajectory, Hong Kong’s population will rise from 7.24 million to 8.22 million by 2043 and then enter a phase of depopulation. That is mainly due to extremely low fertility and an expected reduction in the number of migrants into Hong Kong over the next 30 years. At the same time, the proportion of older adults (aged 65 or over) is set to increase from the present 14 per cent to more than 30 per cent by 2043, whereas the size of the working population will decrease starting from 2018.

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Opportunities for all: Hong Kong University catering project allows disabled to thrive

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Paul Yip

Campus catering project shows how to bring the best out of everyone by embracing diversity

Our students’ learning experience has been significantly enhanced due to the excellent environment in the new Centennial Campus. The services (including catering and recreation) available to students and staff have improved substantially. There is a greater choice of food, including produce provided by social enterprises.

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How Hong Kong’s ageing population is making it more challenging to help the city’s poor

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Paul Yip & Jacky Wong

The government’s summit next month on alleviating poverty is an important opportunity to take stock and identify ways to work for the betterment of the community. We need to have an accurate understanding of the situation in formulating focused measures to alleviate poverty.

A person is defined as poor if his/her household income is below the poverty line, which is set at half the median household income in Hong Kong. It is a relative measure rather than an absolute one; there is always going to be a certain proportion of the population below that level. Hence the rate itself may not be able to accurately describe the change in the poverty situation in Hong Kong.

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